This is the Dawning of the Age of Accountancy (Orient Paper)

July 7, 2010

Orient Paper (ONP) seems to have much in common with my other Chinese ideas: A high historical growth rate; a P/E ratio of 9 at current prices, a decent balance sheet, a Byzantine corporate history involving an offshore holding company and this time not even lumbered with a set of unusually high receivables; and being […]

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China unpegs yuan; HQ Sustainable unpegs health products

June 29, 2010

No doubt all of you have noticed that China has recently unpegged their currency to the US dollar, preferring to key it instead to a basket of foreign currencies. Of course, having a fully floating yuan is pegging it to a basket of foreign currencies; it’s just that the peg is to every currency in […]

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Declining is not the same thing as doomed (Deluxe Corp)

June 26, 2010

Investors nowadays have an unhealthy obsession with growth (and by nowadays, I mean since about 1870). I,  for my part, have no objection to growth, but as I have stated, I don’t like overpaying for growth, which usually simplifies to “I don’t like paying for growth.” But if growth is king, and people are willing […]

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Is depreciation or depletion really free cash flow

June 7, 2010

It has been observed by me, and possibly other people, that free cash flow, more than earnings, is a correct measure of an equity investor’s true returns (free cash flow is earnings plus depreciation minus capital expenditures). The logic behind this goes back to Benjamin Graham’s notion of calculating true earnings; he said that before […]

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HQ Sustainable Maritime Industries – The HQ Stands for High Quality?

May 17, 2010

I suppose that my loyal readers are tired of hearing me going on about cheap Chinese stocks, but value investors have to go where the value is. Some Chinese stocks, small and overlooked, seem to show up on my screens more often than I would expect considering the China cult, and although HQ Sustainable Maritime […]

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CenturyTel to Steal Qwest Communications Inc.

April 22, 2010

It was announced today that CenturyTel will buy Qwest Communications, subject to shareholder and regulatory approval, for $10.6 billion, or $6.02 per share, in an all stock deal. If you’ll recall, way back in June I recommended Qwest as a company with an ample free cash flow in excess of its reported earnings. At the […]

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Beware of the Gumbiner (Hallwood Group)

April 20, 2010

Much of the issues surrounding executive compensation is a concern that the manager’s interests should be aligned with the shareholders’. We have seen large cash salaries giving way to stock and options grants, and now the concern is that CEOs will do whatever they can to juice the price of the stock when their options […]

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Blaming the “victim” (Chiquita Brands)

April 15, 2010

As my loyal readers may recall, my verdict on Chiquita brands was “Cheap, but evil.” It turns out that the law firm of Boies Schiller agrees with me, since they have recently filed a class action on behalf of 242 Colombians who were the victims of a Colombian paramilitary group that was running a protection […]

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The Dark Side of Valuation: The power of smug

April 10, 2010

One of the chief benefits of value investing is the pleasant feeling of smugness it incites in its practitioners. The impression created among value investors is that we are really the only people who know or care about valuation or fundamental analysis, or who have the slightest hope of achieving long-term investment success. Well, on […]

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Be careful what you wish for with China’s currency

April 6, 2010

Now that Easter is over and the spiritual affairs of the world are in order, we may look again at temporal matters. And when it comes to temporal matters, a coming trade war with China is a big one. We now read that there is pressure on the administration to declare China a currency manipulator, […]

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